Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
0 - 2
Fenerbahce


Fall (8'), Opoku (38'), Winck (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Saint-Maximin (22'), Tadic (39' pen.)
Oosterwolde (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 0-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, August 31 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-0 Alanyaspor
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-0 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFenerbahce
20.74% (-0.136 -0.14)22.43% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)56.82% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.72% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (0.054000000000002 0.05)44.3% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (0.050999999999995 0.05)66.68% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (-0.102 -0.1)35.33% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (-0.106 -0.11)72.09% (0.10600000000001 0.11)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (0.080999999999989 0.08)15.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.83% (0.149 0.15)44.16% (-0.151 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 20.74%
    Fenerbahce 56.82%
    Draw 22.43%
KasimpasaDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 5.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 20.74%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.43%
0-1 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.18% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.94% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.9% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.78% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.82%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Fenerbahce

Kasimpasa
6.1%
Draw
10.2%
Fenerbahce
83.7%
49
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 27
Fenerbahce
2-1
Kasimpasa
Hakan Yandas (64'), Batshuayi (90+6')
Yuksek (54'), Djiku (84')
Porozo (58')
Ben Ouannes (14'), Fall (82'), Thomas (90'), Thomas (90')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 8
Kasimpasa
0-2
Fenerbahce

Ngoy (55'), Omeruo (87'), Ciftpinar (89')
Dzeko (6'), Tadic (45+3' pen.)
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 21
Fenerbahce
5-1
Kasimpasa
Valencia (37' pen., 39', 52', 69'), Batshuayi (90+2')
Fall (24')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Kasimpasa
0-6
Fenerbahce

Hadergjonaj (21'), Hajradinovic (42'), Bahoken (54')
Emre Yesilyurt (16')
King (8'), Valencia (34', 58'), Mor (45+3'), Guler (86', 90+2')
Kadioglu (42')
Feb 28, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 27
Kasimpasa
1-2
Fenerbahce
Muleka (67')
Eysseric (48'), Elmali (90+3'), Spajic (90+4'), Donk (90+7'), Mabil (90+7')
Mabil (90+7')
Zajc (6'), Szalai (90+1')
Dursun (86')
> Preview