Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.