Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.