Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Caykur Rizespor	Draw	Fenerbahce
19.77% ( 0.29)	22.27% ( 0.04)	57.95% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 53.69% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.08% (

0.25)

44.92% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.72% (

0.24)

67.28% (

-0.24)

Caykur Rizespor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.32% (

0.44)

36.68% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.53% (

0.44)

73.46% (

-0.44)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.02)

15.22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14% (

-0.04)

43.86% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Caykur Rizespor 19.77%

Fenerbahce 57.95%

Draw 22.26%

Caykur Rizespor	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 19.77%	1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.26%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.95%