Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.