EFL Cup
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 5 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Casemiro 15' goal
  • Casemiro 15' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 28' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 36' goal
  • Casemiro 39' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 59' goal
  • yellowcard Caleb Okoli 20'
  • yellowcard Caleb Okoli 21'
  • yellowcard Steve Cooper 21'
  • goal Bilal El Khannous 33'
  • goal Conor Coady 45'+3'

Manchester United vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Leicester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Manchester United 48.11% (+0.15)
Draw 22.21% (-0.05)
Leicester City 29.69% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.43% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.44% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 34.57% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 43.5% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 56.5% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 25.02% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 74.99% (-0.14)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 85.15% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 14.85% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 56.83% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 43.18% (-0.20)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 76.84% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.17% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.96% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.05% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Manchester United 48.11%
Draw 22.21%
Leicester City 29.69%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.26% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.25% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.98% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.03% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 48.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.69% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.44% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.21%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.03% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.69%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcus Rashford 25' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 56' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 61' goal
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jadon Sancho 23'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Shaw 5' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 49' yellowcard
  • Fred 66' goal
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 16'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 30'
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 63'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Youri Tielemans 31' goal
  • Caglar Soyuncu 78' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 83' goal
  • Patson Daka 90'+1' goal
  • goal Mason Greenwood 19'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 52'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 82'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wan-Bissaka 85'
  • yellowcard Paul Pogba 86'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 11, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mason Greenwood 15' goal
  • goal Luke Thomas 10'
  • goal Caglar Soyuncu 66'
FA Cup
Mar 21, 2021 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT King Power Stadium
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 24' goal
  • Youri Tielemans 52' goal
  • Marc Albrighton 69' yellowcard
  • Jonny Evans 76' yellowcard
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 78' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 30'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 38'
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 72'

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