Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 8

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 3
Leicester

Archer (8'), Aribo (28')
Manning (6'), Fernandes (10'), Harwood-Bellis (33'), Obling (36'), Sugawara (49'), Martin (90+9')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Buonanotte (64'), Vardy (74' pen.), Ayew (90+8')
Vardy (52'), Buonanotte (62'), Winks (70')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Leicester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Leicester City
44.06% ( 1.43)	23.8% ( -0.18)	32.13% ( -1.24)

Both teams to score 60.93% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.95% (

0.44)

41.05% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.56% (

0.45)

63.44% (

-0.44)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09% (

0.8)

18.9% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.61% (

1.3)

50.39% (

-1.3)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13% (

-0.52)

24.87% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.52% (

-0.73)

59.47% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Southampton 44.06%

Leicester City 32.13%

Draw 23.79%

Southampton	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.06%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.13%