Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 51.6% ( | 22.92% ( | 25.48% |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.75% | 41.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.35% ( | 63.65% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( | 16.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.53% ( | 45.47% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% | 29.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% ( | 65.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.22% Total : 25.48% |