Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Paqueta (37' pen.)
Paqueta (31')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Onana (4'), Duran (79')
Bailey (8'), Philogene-Bidace (90')

Reaction

Aston Villa forward Jhon Duran scores against West Ham United on August 17, 2024.

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Aug 18, 09:22

The Match

Match Report

Jhon Duran defies weeks of speculation of a move to West Ham United by scoring the winning goal for Aston Villa in a 2-1 victory at the London Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 8-7 Celta Vigo (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
45.32% ( -0.47)	24.67% ( 0.29)	30% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 56.77% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98% (

-1.22)

46.02% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.68% (

-1.17)

68.32% (

1.16)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

-0.7)

20.39% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.19% (

-1.12)

52.8% (

1.12)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

-0.5)

28.68% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49% (

-0.62)

64.5% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

West Ham United 45.33%

Aston Villa 30%

Draw 24.67%

West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.33%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 30%