Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 29.98% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.21%).

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Aston Villa
48.16% ( -0.21)	21.85% ( 0.11)	29.98% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 66.96% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.36% (

-0.52)

32.63% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.69% (

-0.6)

54.3% (

0.6)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.88% (

-0.26)

14.12% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.24% (

-0.51)

41.76% (

0.51)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.97% (

-0.2)

22.03% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.64% (

-0.31)

55.35% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 48.16%

Aston Villa 29.98%

Draw 21.85%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.69% Total : 48.16%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 29.98%