We said: Augsburg 1-1 Leicester City
While Augsburg's loss to South African opposition may have raised an eyebrow at a first glance, the German side were dealing with a plethora of absentees and should cut stronger figures on Saturday.
Whether such expected improvement is enough to beat top-flight opposition is another question entirely, but Leicester were far from ruthless in their Palermo loss and may have to settle for a draw here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.