Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 1
Ipswich

Obling (5', 5')
Taylor (25'), Taylor (25'), Lallana (52'), Lallana (52'), Downes (63'), Stewart (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Morsy (90+5')
Delap (63'), Hutchinson (63'), Taylor (83'), O'Shea (90+3')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 1-1 Southampton (5-6 pen.)
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Ipswich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Ipswich Town
45.41% ( 0.04)	23.3%	31.29% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 62.35% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61% (

-0.02)

39% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.68% (

-0.03)

61.32% (

0.02)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.46% (

0.01)

17.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.93% (

0.01)

48.07% (

-0.02)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62% (

-0.04)

24.38% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21% (

-0.05)

58.79% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Southampton 45.41%

Ipswich Town 31.29%

Draw 23.29%

Southampton	Draw	Ipswich Town
2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.96% Total : 45.41%	1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.29%