Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%).