Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 2
Everton

Watkins (36', 58'), Duran (76')
Martinez (47'), Emery (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

McNeil (16'), Calvert-Lewin (27')
Ndiaye (15'), Iroegbunam (19'), Young (79'), O'Brien (88')

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins nets a brace and Jhon Duran scores a stunning long-range goal as Aston Villa come back from two goals down to beat Everton 3-2 at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Everton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Everton
44.32% ( -0.16)	23.52% ( -0.02)	32.16% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 61.96% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.31% (

0.16)

39.69% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.96% (

0.16)

62.04% (

-0.16)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75% (

-0)

18.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7% (

-0)

49.29% (

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

0.17)

24.2% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.46% (

0.25)

58.54% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 44.32%

Everton 32.16%

Draw 23.51%

Aston Villa	Draw	Everton
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 44.32%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.16%