Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 52.98% ( | 22.22% | 24.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( | 38.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.08% ( | 60.92% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% ( | 14.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.16% ( | 42.84% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( | 28.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( | 64.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.43% Total : 24.8% |