EFL Cup
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Fabian Schar 16' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 19' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 23' goal
  • Axel Disasi 26' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 52' yellowcard
  • Nick Pope 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benoit Badiashile 29'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 85'

Newcastle United vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Chelsea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.48%) and 1-3 (5.13%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 35.82% (+0.04)
Draw 22.19% (+0.11)
Chelsea 41.99% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.28% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.06% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 31.93% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 46.51% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 53.49% (+0.61)
Over 4.5 27.61% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 72.39% (+0.54)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 81.34% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 18.66% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 50.01% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 49.99% (+0.37)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 83.95% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 16.05% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 54.58% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 45.41% (+0.49)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 35.82%
Draw 22.19%
Chelsea 41.99%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.72% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.03% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.22% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.36% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 35.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.2% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 7.06% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2.41% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.19%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 8.41% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.13% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.01% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.06% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.97% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.1% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 41.99%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Cole Palmer 4' goal
  • Wesley Fofana 11' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 18' goal
  • Cole Palmer 47' goal
  • Romeo Lavia 54' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 66' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 84' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 88' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Enzo Maresca 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 22'
  • goal Alexander Isak 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 64'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 11, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Nicolas Jackson 6' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 39' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 57' goal
  • Djordje Petrovic 71' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 72' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 76' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 43'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 90'
  • yellowcard Joe White 90'+6'
EFL Cup
Dec 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Moises Caicedo 2' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 71' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+2' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Wilson 16'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 87'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 2
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 22' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 22' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 46' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 60' goal
  • Joelinton 61' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 83' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
  • yellowcard Lesley Ugochukwu 41'
  • yellowcard Reece James 55'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 59'
  • redcard Reece James 73'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 77'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 81'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 27, 2023 1.15am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Miguel Almiron 45' goal
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 12'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kieran Trippier 27' goal
  • goal Anthony Gordon 9'

Build-up

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