Premier League Gameweek 8
Liverpool
Oct 20, 2024 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
Chelsea
  • Arne Slot 26' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 29' goal
  • Curtis Jones 51' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 69' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Konate 80' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tosin Adarabioyo 6'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 28'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 48'
  • yellowcard Renato Veiga 78'

Liverpool vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 12.30pm
Crystal Palace 0 - 1 Liverpool
Goals scored
86
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 2.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 14.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match.

Result

Liverpool 68.06% ▼ (-0.19)
Draw 17.5% ▲ (+0.33)
Chelsea 14.44% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.25% ▼ (-1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.74% ▼ (-2.01)
Under 2.5 32.26% ▲ (+2.01)
Over 3.5 46.13% ▼ (-2.37)
Under 3.5 53.86% ▲ (+2.37)
Over 4.5 27.27% ▼ (-2.10)
Under 4.5 72.72% ▲ (+2.10)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 91.31% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 0.5 8.68% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 1.5 70.1% ▼ (-1.38)
Under 1.5 29.9% ▲ (+1.38)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 64.88% ▼ (-1.52)
Under 0.5 35.11% ▲ (+1.52)
Over 1.5 28.13% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 1.5 71.86% ▲ (+1.63)

Score analysis

Liverpool 68.06%
Draw 17.5%
Chelsea 14.44%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.51)
3-1 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.60)
3-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.23)
4-1 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.21)
5-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.16)
5-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.06)
5-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 5.23%
Total : 68.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.33)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.32)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.5%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 14.44%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Chelsea
Feb 25, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET Stamford Bridge
Liverpool
  • Ben Chilwell 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 120'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 45'+3'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 60'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 81'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 82'
  • yellowcard James McConnell 107'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 118'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 120'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Liverpool
Jan 31, 2024 8.15pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Anfield
Chelsea
  • Diogo Jota 23' goal
  • Conor Bradley 39' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 47' yellowcard
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 65' goal
  • Ibrahima Konate 76' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 79' goal
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 11'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 33'
  • yellowcard Ben Chilwell 35'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 41'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 71'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Chelsea
Aug 13, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Liverpool
  • Carney Chukwuemeka 4' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 32' yellowcard
  • Axel Disasi 37' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 85' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Diaz 18'
  • yellowcard Diogo Jota 32'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 68'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 89'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Chelsea
Apr 4, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Liverpool
Premier League Gameweek 21
Liverpool
Jan 21, 2023 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
FA Cup
Chelsea
May 14, 2022 4.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Liverpool
  • Reece James 77' yellowcard

Form Data

Crystal Palace 0 - 1 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 0 Bologna
Wolves 1 - 2 Liverpool
Liverpool 5 - 1 West Ham
Liverpool 3 - 0 Bournemouth
AC Milan 1 - 3 Liverpool
Chelsea 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Chelsea 4 - 2 Gent
Chelsea 4 - 2 Brighton
Chelsea 5 - 0 Barrow
West Ham 0 - 3 Chelsea
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Chelsea

Build-up

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