Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 7

Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
0 - 1
Liverpool

Lerma (71'), Hughes (73'), Sarr (74'), Nketiah (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jota (9')
Gakpo (31'), Mac Allister (43')

Reaction

Liverpool's Alexis Mac Allister and Alisson Becker pictured on April 18, 2024

Liverpool star provides positive injury update after early Crystal Palace substitution

Liverpool midfielder Alexis Mac Allister eases fears about a possible injury concern following his early substitution against Crystal Palace.

Oct 5, 22:18

Liverpool's Alisson Becker pictured on September 28, 2024

Liverpool injury news: Arne Slot issues Alisson Becker, Alexis Mac Allister updates after Crystal Palace win

Liverpool head coach Arne Slot addresses the injury problems that Alisson Becker and Alexis Mac Allister suffered against Crystal Palace.

Oct 5, 18:14

Liverpool games Alisson Becker could miss as Arne Slot delivers injury update

Sports Mole looks at the Liverpool games that Alisson Becker could miss after his hamstring injury in the Reds' 1-0 win over Crystal Palace.

Oct 5, 17:19

Liverpool's Alisson Becker, Ibrahima Konate, Diogo Jota and Alexis Mac Allister pictured on September 17, 2024

Liverpool dealt massive blow as 32-year-old suffers suspected hamstring injury

Liverpool number one Alisson Becker is forced off with a suspected hamstring injury in the Reds' Premier League clash with Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park.

Oct 5, 13:20

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Bologna
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Liverpool
22.18% ( -0.03)	21.62% ( -0.02)	56.2% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 59.67% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.25% (

0.04)

38.75% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.94% (

0.05)

61.06% (

-0.05)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.14% (

-0)

30.85% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.86% (

-0)

67.14% (

-0)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.3% (

0.03)

13.7% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.07% (

0.06)

40.93% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 22.18%

Liverpool 56.2%

Draw 21.62%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 22.18%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.62%	1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.35% 1-3 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 56.2%