Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 6

Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
2 - 1
Crystal Palace

McNeil (47', 54')
Calvert-Lewin (84'), Pickford (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Guehi (10', 10')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leicester 1-1 Everton
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Man Utd
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Crystal Palace
41.51% ( -0)	26.13% ( -0.01)	32.36% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.04% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.64% (

0.05)

51.36% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.82% (

0.05)

73.18% (

-0.05)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53% (

0.02)

24.47% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.08% (

0.03)

58.92% (

-0.04)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

0.03)

29.77% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

0.04)

65.85% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Everton 41.5%

Crystal Palace 32.36%

Draw 26.12%

Everton	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.5%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.36%