Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.