Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 1
Atalanta

Castro (46')
Freuler (1'), Fabbian (35'), Skorupski (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Samardzic (90')
Bellanova (29'), Odilon (33'), Ederson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Como
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Atalanta BC
48.82% ( -0.46)	26.07% ( 0.09)	25.11% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.23% (

-0.06)

54.77% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.92% (

-0.05)

76.08% (

0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

-0.23)

22.46% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.99% (

-0.34)

56.01% (

0.34)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.9% (

0.3)

37.1% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11% (

0.29)

73.88% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Bologna 48.82%

Atalanta BC 25.11%

Draw 26.07%

Bologna	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.82%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.11%