Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2024 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 2
Bologna

Djuric (43')
Carboni (18'), Izzo (42'), Castro (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Urbanski (24'), Castro (80')
Lucumi (51'), Mari (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Shakhtar
Wednesday, September 18 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Monza had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Bologna
34.54% ( 0.26)	27.55% ( 0.14)	37.91% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 49.08% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.38% (

-0.49)

56.62% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.41% (

-0.4)

77.59% (

0.4)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02% (

-0.08)

30.98% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72% (

-0.1)

67.28% (

0.1)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11% (

-0.47)

28.89% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.23% (

-0.58)

64.76% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Monza 34.53%

Bologna 37.91%

Draw 27.55%

Monza	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.53%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.91%