Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.