Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Sep 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
0 - 0
Arsenal

Ederson (12')

Reaction

Arsenal goalkeeping coach Inaki Cana pictured on April 16, 2023

David Raya credits controversial Arsenal coach for "lucky" Atalanta double save

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Arsenal's David Raya pictured on August 24, 2024

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Arsenal

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Arsenal
31.11% ( 0.74)	25.36% ( 0.27)	43.52% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 55.05% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.46% (

-0.87)

48.54% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34% (

-0.8)

70.66% (

0.79)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

0.07)

29.2% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

0.08)

65.14% (

-0.09)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

-0.84)

22.25% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

-1.27)

55.69% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 31.11%

Arsenal 43.52%

Draw 25.35%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 8% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.11%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.52%