Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 3
Como

Zappacosta (18'), Lookman (90+9' pen.)
de Roon (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Espeto (46'), Kolasinac (54' og.), Fadera (58')
Roberto (11'), Moreno (36'), Van Der Brempt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Arsenal
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Como

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Como 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, September 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Como had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Como
50.11% ( -2.67)	24.9% ( 0.48)	24.98% ( 2.2)

Both teams to score 52.11% (

0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.67% (

0.06)

50.33% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73% (

0.06)

72.27% (

-0.05)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

-1.05)

20.09% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.66% (

-1.71)

52.34% (

1.71)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21% (

2.01)

34.78% (

-2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48% (

2.06)

71.51% (

-2.06)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 50.11%

Como 24.98%

Draw 24.9%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.51) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.11%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.98%