Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Davide Zappacosta 18' goal
  • Marten de Roon 83' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Sergi Roberto 11'
  • yellowcard Alberto Moreno 36'
  • goal Gabriel Espeto 46'
  • goal Sead Kolasinac 54' (OG)
  • goal Alieu Fadera 58'
  • yellowcard Ignace Van Der Brempt 90'+1'

Atalanta BC vs Como - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 2.00pm
Atalanta 3 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Mateo Retegui

Como

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 2.00pm
Como 2 - 2 Bologna
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Assane Diao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Como had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Atalanta BC 50.11% (-2.67)
Draw 24.9% (+0.48)
Como 24.98% (+2.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.11% (+0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.67% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 50.33% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 27.73% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.27% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 13.13% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.87% (-0.04)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 79.9% (-1.05)
Under 0.5 20.09% (+1.05)
Over 1.5 47.66% (-1.71)
Under 1.5 52.34% (+1.72)

Como Goals

Over 0.5 65.21% (+2.01)
Under 0.5 34.78% (-2.01)
Over 1.5 28.48% (+2.06)
Under 1.5 71.51% (-2.06)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 50.11%
Draw 24.9%
Como 24.98%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.40)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.64)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.52)
3-2 @ 2.68% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.28)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (+0.21)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 24.9%
Como
0-1 @ 7.38% (+0.38)
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.45)
0-2 @ 3.9% (+0.40)
1-3 @ 2.2% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.37% (+0.21)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.98%