Premier League Gameweek 9
Chelsea
Oct 27, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Newcastle
  • Cole Palmer 4' goal
  • Wesley Fofana 11' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 18' goal
  • Cole Palmer 47' goal
  • Romeo Lavia 54' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 66' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 84' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 88' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Enzo Maresca 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 22'
  • goal Alexander Isak 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 64'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'

Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2024 4.30pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
Newcastle 0 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result

Chelsea 55.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 20.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Newcastle United 23.6% ▼ (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.05% ▼ (-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.43% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 2.5 32.57% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 3.5 45.77% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 3.5 54.23% ▲ (+0.89)
Over 4.5 26.96% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 4.5 73.04% ▲ (+0.78)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 88.18% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 11.82% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 62.94% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 1.5 37.06% ▲ (+0.54)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 73.77% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 0.5 26.23% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 1.5 38.67% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 1.5 61.33% ▲ (+0.70)

Score analysis

Chelsea 55.69%
Draw 20.7%
Newcastle United 23.6%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 55.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.7%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 23.6%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 28
Chelsea
Mar 11, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Newcastle
  • Nicolas Jackson 6' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 39' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 57' goal
  • Djordje Petrovic 71' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 72' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 76' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 43'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 90'
  • yellowcard Joe White 90'+6'
EFL Cup
Chelsea
Dec 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kingsmeadow
Newcastle
  • Moises Caicedo 2' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 71' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+2' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Wilson 16'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 87'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Newcastle
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 2
FT St. James' Park
Chelsea
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 22' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 22' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 46' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 60' goal
  • Joelinton 61' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 83' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
  • yellowcard Lesley Ugochukwu 41'
  • yellowcard Reece James 55'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 59'
  • redcard Reece James 73'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 77'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 81'
Club Friendlies 1
Newcastle
Jul 27, 2023 1.15am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chelsea
  • Miguel Almiron 45' goal
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 12'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Chelsea
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Newcastle
  • Kieran Trippier 27' goal
  • goal Anthony Gordon 9'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Newcastle
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Joe Willock 67' goal

Form Data

Panathinaikos 1 - 4 Chelsea
Liverpool 2 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Chelsea 4 - 2 Gent
Chelsea 4 - 2 Brighton
Chelsea 5 - 0 Barrow
Newcastle 0 - 1 Brighton
Everton 0 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Newcastle 1 - 1 Man City
Fulham 3 - 1 Newcastle
Wolves 1 - 2 Newcastle

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups