Premier League Gameweek 8
Newcastle
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT St. James' Park
Brighton
  • Dan Burn 10' yellowcard
  • Dan Burn 10' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hall 37' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hall 37' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Welbeck 35'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 35'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinshelwood 71'

Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 5.30pm
Everton 0 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 4.30pm
Brighton 3 - 2 Spurs
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 43.04% ▲ (+0.65)
Draw 22.66% ▲ (+0.12)
Brighton & Hove Albion 34.3% ▼ (-0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.02% ▼ (-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.28% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 2.5 34.72% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 3.5 43.32% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 3.5 56.68% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 4.5 24.87% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 4.5 75.13% ▲ (+0.76)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 83.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 16.77% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 53.29% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 46.71% ▲ (+0.12)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 79.32% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 0.5 20.68% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 1.5 46.73% ▼ (-1.20)
Under 1.5 53.27% ▲ (+1.20)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 43.04%
Draw 22.66%
Brighton & Hove Albion 34.3%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.12)
1-0 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.24)
2-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 43.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.66%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.09)
2-4 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 34.3%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 37
Newcastle
May 11, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
Brighton
  • Sean Longstaff 45'+5' goal
  • Lewis Hall 79' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 88' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Veltman 18'
  • yellowcard Billy Gilmour 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Julio Enciso 54'
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 77'
  • yellowcard Benicio Baker-Boatiey 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Brighton
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Newcastle
  • Evan Ferguson 27' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 65' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 70' goal
  • Tariq Lamptey 83' yellowcard
  • James Milner 86' yellowcard
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 23'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 43'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 68'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 76'
  • goal Callum Wilson 90'+2'
Club Friendlies 1
Brighton
Jul 29, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Danny Welbeck 49' goal
  • goal Elliot Anderson 86'
  • goal Elliot Anderson 90'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Newcastle
May 18, 2023 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Brighton
  • Deniz Undav 22' goal
  • Dan Burn 45'+4' goal
  • Callum Wilson 89' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+1' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 51'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Brighton
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Alexis Mac Allister 34' yellowcard
  • Solly March 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Allan Saint-Maximin 22'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 58'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Newcastle
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Brighton
  • Ryan Fraser 12' goal
  • Fabian Schar 14' goal
  • Joelinton 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Dunk 55'
  • yellowcard Shane Duffy 63'

Form Data

Everton 0 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Newcastle 1 - 1 Man City
Fulham 3 - 1 Newcastle
Wolves 1 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 1 Spurs
Brighton 3 - 2 Spurs
Chelsea 4 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 2 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Brighton 3 - 2 Wolves
Brighton 0 - 0 Ipswich
Arsenal 1 - 1 Brighton

Build-up

Predicted Lineups