Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 8

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
0 - 1
Brighton

Burn (10'), Burn (10'), Hall (37'), Hall (37')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Welbeck (35', 35')
Ayari (45'), Ayari (45'), Hinshelwood (71')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 0-0 Newcastle
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 3-2 Spurs
Sunday, October 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
43.04% ( 0.65)	22.66% ( 0.12)	34.3% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 66.02% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.28% (

-0.79)

34.72% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.32% (

-0.9)

56.68% (

0.89)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.23% (

-0.07)

16.77% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.29% (

-0.12)

46.71% (

0.12)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

-0.75)

20.68% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

-1.2)

53.27% (

1.19)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 43.04%

Brighton & Hove Albion 34.3%

Draw 22.66%

Newcastle United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.48% Total : 43.04%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.66%	1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.91% Total : 34.3%