Premier League Gameweek 13
Chelsea
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 7' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 36' goal
  • Cole Palmer 83' goal
  • Noni Madueke 85' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaden Philogene-Bidace 54'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 61'

Chelsea vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Nov 23, 2024 12.30pm
Leicester 1 - 2 Chelsea
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.99%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.81% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.95%) and 3-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 56.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 20.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Aston Villa 22.81% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.92% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 47.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 52.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 28.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 71.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 89.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 10.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 64.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 35.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 74.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 25.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 39.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Chelsea 56.99%
Draw 20.19%
Aston Villa 22.82%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 56.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 20.19%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 22.82%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 35
Aston Villa
Apr 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Marc Cucurella 4' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 42' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 49' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 64' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 49'
  • goal Noni Madueke 62'
  • goal Conor Gallagher 81'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 82'
  • yellowcard Thiago Silva 87'
  • yellowcard Benoit Badiashile 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Noni Madueke 90'+10'
FA Cup
Aston Villa
Feb 7, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Diego Carlos 38' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 90'+1' goal
  • goal Conor Gallagher 11'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 21'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 54'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Djordje Petrovic 76'
FA Cup
Chelsea
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Thiago Silva 9' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Luiz 12'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 46'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Chelsea
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' yellowcard
  • Malo Gusto 58' redcard
  • Ben Chilwell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 44'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 73'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Chelsea
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • goal Ollie Watkins 18'
  • goal John McGinn 56'
Club Friendlies 1
Aston Villa
Dec 11, 2022 2.10pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Chelsea
  • John McGinn 7' goal

Form Data

Heidenheim 0 - 2 Chelsea
Leicester 1 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal
Chelsea 8 - 0 Noah
Man Utd 1 - 1 Chelsea
Newcastle 2 - 0 Chelsea
Aston Villa 0 - 0 Juventus
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Crystal Palace
Liverpool 2 - 0 Aston Villa
Brugge 1 - 0 Aston Villa
Spurs 4 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Crystal Palace

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups