EFL Cup
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-
Jhon Duran
23'
-
Diego Carlos
67'
-
Tyrone Mings
89'
-
Eberechi Eze
8'
-
Daichi Kamada
64'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
76'
-
Will Hughes
78'
-
Daniel Munoz
90'+1'
-
Marc Guehi
90'+4'
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result
Aston Villa
47.35%
▼
(-0.19)
Draw
23.42%
Crystal Palace
29.23%
▲
(+0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
60.63%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.27%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
40.73%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
36.89%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
63.11%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
19.69%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
80.3%
▼
(-0.08)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
82.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
17.46%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
52.07%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
47.93%
▲
(+0.06)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5
73.46%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
26.54%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
38.25%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
61.75%
▼
(-0.23)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
47.35%
Draw
23.41%
Crystal Palace
29.23%
Aston Villa
2-1
@
9.36%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 47.35%
1-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 47.35%
Draw
1-1
@
10.72%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.41%
2-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.41%
Crystal Palace
1-2
@
7.11%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 29.23%
0-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 29.23%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
38
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
9'
-
Joachim Andersen
24'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
39'
-
Eberechi Eze
54'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
63'
-
Eberechi Eze
69'
-
John McGinn
18'
-
Lucas Digne
58'
-
Douglas Luiz
73'
-
Clement Lenglet
90'+2'
Premier League
Gameweek
5
-
John McGinn
17'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
45'+4'
-
Matty Cash
86'
-
Jhon Duran
87'
-
Douglas Luiz
90'+8'
-
Leon Bailey
90'+11'
-
Leon Bailey
90'+14'
-
Jhon Duran
90'+15'
-
Eberechi Eze
17'
-
Odsonne Edouard
47'
-
Will Hughes
53'
-
Joel Ward
90'+8'
Premier League
Gameweek
26
-
Joachim Andersen
27'
Premier League
Gameweek
3
-
Wilfried Zaha
7'
-
Wilfried Zaha
39'
-
Wilfried Zaha
58'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
71'
-
Jeffrey Schlupp
75'
-
Ollie Watkins
5'
-
John McGinn
36'
Premier League
Gameweek
37
-
Tyrone Mings
9'
-
Ollie Watkins
69'
-
Conor Gallagher
14'
-
Odsonne Edouard
76'
-
Jeffrey Schlupp
81'
-
Cheikhou Kouyate
89'
Premier League
Gameweek
13
-
Wilfried Zaha
29'
-
Joel Ward
44'
-
Luka Milivojevic
56'
-
Marc Guehi
90'+5'
-
Matt Targett
15'
-
Matty Cash
29'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
54'
-
Douglas Luiz
74'
-
John McGinn
86'