Champions League
Oct 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Pau Torres 22' goal
  • Jhon Duran 79' goal
  • Ian Maatsen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Diego Carlos 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 21'
  • yellowcard Serge Gnabry 66'

Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 17, 2024 5.45pm
Young Boys 0 - 3 Aston Villa

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 17, 2024 8.00pm
Bayern 9 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 22.61% (+1.97)
Draw 19.73% (+0.81)
Bayern Munich 57.65% (-2.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.43% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.03% (-1.34)
Under 2.5 28.97% (+1.34)
Over 3.5 50.06% (-1.66)
Under 3.5 49.93% (+1.66)
Over 4.5 30.8% (-1.54)
Under 4.5 69.2% (+1.54)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 75.06% (+0.78)
Under 0.5 24.94% (-0.78)
Over 1.5 40.42% (+1.06)
Under 1.5 59.57% (-1.06)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 89.83% (-1.06)
Under 0.5 10.16% (+1.06)
Over 1.5 66.6% (-2.48)
Under 1.5 33.4% (+2.48)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 22.61%
Draw 19.73%
Bayern Munich 57.65%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 5.59% (+0.42)
1-0 @ 3.52% (+0.35)
3-2 @ 2.96% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.59% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 2.44% (+0.29)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-96.67)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-94.28)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.05% (+0.43)
2-2 @ 6.39% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 2.53% (+0.20)
3-3 @ 2.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.73%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.2% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 7.01% (-0.29)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 5.8% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.32)
2-3 @ 4.87% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 4.01% (-0.37)
0-4 @ 2.89% (-0.34)
2-4 @ 2.78% (-0.19)
1-5 @ 1.83% (-0.27)
0-5 @ 1.32% (-0.23)
3-4 @ 1.29% (-0.06)
2-5 @ 1.27% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 57.65%

Build-up

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