Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.