Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Bayern

Torres (22'), Duran (79')
Maatsen (90+1'), Carlos (90+4'), Duran (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Upamecano (21'), Gnabry (66')

Reaction

Aston Villa forward Jhon Duran celebrates goal against Bayern Munich on October 2, 2024.

Aston Villa 1-0 Bayern Munich: Jhon Duran described as "different animal", "super sub" after latest winning goal

Aston Villa hero Jhon Duran is described as "a different animal" having scored a stunning decisive goal in the 1-0 victory over Bayern Munich in the Champions League.

Oct 2, 22:47

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Bayern Munich
22.61% ( 1.97)	19.73% ( 0.81)	57.65% ( -2.78)

Both teams to score 67.43% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.03% (

-1.34)

28.97% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.06% (

-1.65)

49.93% (

1.66)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

0.77)

24.94% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.42% (

1.06)

59.57% (

-1.06)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.83% (

-1.06)

10.16% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.6% (

-2.47)

33.4% (

2.48)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 22.61%

Bayern Munich 57.65%

Draw 19.73%

Aston Villa	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.36% Total : 22.61%	1-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.73%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.01% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 4.01% ( -0.36) 0-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.33) 2-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 1.83% ( -0.26) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.22) 3-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.71% Total : 57.65%