Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
  • Pau Torres 28' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 73' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 75' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 88' goal
  • Jhon Duran 90'+4' goal
  • Ross Barkley 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Ait-Nouri 7'
  • yellowcard Nelson Semedo 16'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 25'
  • yellowcard Joao Gomes 27'
  • yellowcard Mario Lemina 61'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 81'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 90'+12'

Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 5.30pm
Aston Villa 3 - 2 Everton
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 4.30pm
Wolves 1 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 1-0 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 62.31% (+0.06)
Draw 19.45% (-0.03)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.24% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.88% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.82% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 34.18% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 43.94% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 56.06% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 25.39% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 74.61% (-0.04)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 89.43% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 10.56% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 65.69% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 34.31% (-0.06)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 68.08% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.92% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 31.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.37% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 62.31%
Draw 19.45%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.24%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.52% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.29% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 62.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.45%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 18.24%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Youri Tielemans 30' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 36' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 65' goal
  • Jhon Duran 84' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Sarabia 19'
  • yellowcard Tawanda Chirewa 81'
  • yellowcard Max Kilman 84'
  • yellowcard Toti Gomes 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Craig Dawson 28' yellowcard
  • Hwang Hee-chan 53' goal
  • Mario Lemina 62' yellowcard
  • Nelson Semedo 67' yellowcard
  • Mario Lemina 90'+4' redcard
  • Sasa Kalajdzic 90'+14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 6'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 29'
  • goal Pau Torres 55'
Premier League Gameweek 35
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tote Gomes 9' goal
Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Ings 78' goal
  • goal Daniel Podence 12'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jonny Castro 7' goal
  • Conor Coady 25' yellowcard
  • Ashley Young 36' goal
  • Jonny Castro 66' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John McGinn 38'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 86'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Ings 48' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 61' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 68' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Neves 52'
  • goal Romain Saiss 80'
  • goal Conor Coady 85'
  • yellowcard Leander Dendoncker 88'
  • goal Ruben Neves 90'+5'

Build-up

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