Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.92%) and 0-2 (5.08%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.