EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 24, 2024 at 8pm UK

Adams Park

Wycombe
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Kone (90+5')
Bakinson (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Buendia (55'), Duran (85' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Aston Villa
33.36% ( -0)	24.45%	42.2% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.08% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34% (

43.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95% (

66.05%

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6%

25.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79% (

-0)

60.2% (

0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19% (

20.8% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.53% (

53.47%

Score Analysis

Wycombe Wanderers 33.36%

Aston Villa 42.2%

Draw 24.44%

Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 7.79% 1-0 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.36%	1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 8.93% 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 1.83% 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.2%