Wycombe Wanderers
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Adams Park

Wycombe
5 - 3
Brighton U21s

Lubala (13', 30', 36', 50'), Sadlier (27')
Harvie (82'), Hartridge (82')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Howell (45+3' pen., 80' pen.), Ifill (56')
Knight (41'), Albarus (48'), Moulton (87')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.05%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
46.87% (0.692 0.69)22.03% (-0.465 -0.47)31.09% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 66.99% (1.642 1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.12% (2.2 2.2)32.88% (-2.199 -2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (2.493 2.49)54.59% (-2.492 -2.49)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (1.079 1.08)14.65% (-1.078 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (2.033 2.03)42.79% (-2.032 -2.03)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.943 0.94)21.52% (-0.943 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (1.429 1.43)54.57% (-1.428 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 46.87%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 31.09%
    Draw 22.03%
Wycombe WanderersDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.155 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.39% (0.239 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.188 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.065 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 46.87%
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.123 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.181 0.18)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.433 -0.43)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.159 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 31.09%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2024 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Wycombe
4-1
Brighton U21s
Sadlier (40', 45+1'), Kavanagh (44' og.), Taylor (47')
Barrington (65')
Hinchy (31')
Mullins (54')