Premier League 2 - Div 1
May 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Griffin Park

Chelsea U21s
5 - 4
Brighton U21s

Moreira (22'), Richards (41', 60'), Morgan (105+2'), Silcott-Duberry (117')
Sturge (46'), Kavanagh (119')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baker-Boatiey (34'), Duffus (72', 105+5'), Kavanagh (85')
Jackson (26'), McConville (40')
Chelsea U21s win 0-0 on penalties
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Chelsea Under-21s and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-0 Saints U21s
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Wolves U21s 1-1 Brighton U21s
Monday, April 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.63%) and 2-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea Under-21sDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
33.85% (-1.3 -1.3)20.43% (-0.325 -0.32)45.72% (1.622 1.62)
Both teams to score 74.68% (0.83 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.49% (1.209 1.21)23.51% (-1.212 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.05% (1.604 1.6)42.94% (-1.607 -1.61)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (0.02300000000001 0.02)15.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.35% (0.045000000000002 0.05)44.64% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.52% (0.956 0.96)11.47% (-0.96 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.68% (2.035 2.04)36.32% (-2.037 -2.04)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Under-21s 33.85%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 45.72%
    Draw 20.43%
Chelsea Under-21sDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-0 @ 3.33% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-0 @ 3.09% (-0.258 -0.26)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-3 @ 1.5% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 33.85%
2-2 @ 7.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-1 @ 7.21% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-3 @ 3.23% (0.109 0.11)
0-0 @ 1.79% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.43%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.63% (0.18 0.18)
2-3 @ 5.22% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.207 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.094 0.09)
2-4 @ 2.83% (0.194 0.19)
3-4 @ 1.75% (0.121 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.11 0.11)
1-5 @ 1.32% (0.135 0.14)
2-5 @ 1.22% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 45.72%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7pm
Chelsea U21s
2-3
Brighton U21s
Stutter (5', 27')
Matos (18'), Hughes (35'), Gee (90+3')
Barrington (43', 51'), O'Mahony (64')
McConville (26'), Hinshelwood (30'), Hinchy (67'), Samuels (69')
Apr 28, 2023 7pm
Chelsea U21s
1-4
Brighton U21s
Castledine (74')
Moran (45+3', 55'), Hinshelwood (57'), O'Mahony (78')
Oct 30, 2022 4pm