Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa U21s
0 - 4
Chelsea U21s


Kellyman (31'), Bogarde (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Richards (10', 21'), Washington (63'), George (90+4')
Olise (83')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-2 Leicester U21s
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-3 Forest U21s
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 60.79%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
21.17% (0.243 0.24)18.04% (0.040000000000003 0.04)60.79% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)
Both teams to score 72.04% (0.247 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.57% (0.152 0.15)22.43% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.52% (0.205 0.2)41.48% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.27799999999999 0.28)22.09% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (0.415 0.41)55.45% (-0.411 -0.41)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.47% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)7.53% (0.0141 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.01% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)26.99% (0.032 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 21.17%
    Chelsea Under-21s 60.79%
    Draw 18.04%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.9% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.04 0.04)
1-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.9% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.025 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 21.17%
1-1 @ 6.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.75% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.04%
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 5.47% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 4.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-4 @ 3.54% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.1% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.83% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-5 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 60.79%