Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.29%) and 2-3 (4.93%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.