Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 64.74%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 17.94% and a draw had a probability of 17.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Under-21s	Draw	Reading Under-21s
64.74% ( 0.51)	17.32% ( -0.2)	17.94% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 68.88% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76% (

0.47)

24% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.4% (

0.63)

43.6% (

-0.64)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.8% (

0.22)

7.2% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.86% (

0.59)

26.14% (

-0.59)

Reading Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.22% (

0.03)

25.77% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.28% (

0.04)

60.72% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Under-21s 64.74%

Reading Under-21s 17.94%

Draw 17.32%

Chelsea Under-21s	Draw	Reading Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 5.05% Total : 64.74%	1-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.6% Total : 17.32%	1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 17.94%