Premier League 2 - Div 1
Jan 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Griffin Park

Chelsea U21s
3 - 2
Man Utd U21s

McNeilly (32', 45+5'), George (90+1')
Sturge (42'), Gee (62'), McNeilly (90+2'), Willis (90+4'), George (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Shoretire (53', 60')
Murray (76')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Chelsea Under-21s and Manchester United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 2-1 Chelsea U21s
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Man Utd U21s 3-2 Newcastle U21s
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Under-21sDrawManchester United Under-21s
46.89% (-0.203 -0.2)20.04% (0.050999999999998 0.05)33.07% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 75.88% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.11% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)21.89% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.25% (-0.259 -0.26)40.74% (0.257 0.26)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46% (-0.125 -0.13)10.54% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.76% (-0.277 -0.28)34.24% (0.276 0.28)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)15.18% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2% (-0.052 -0.05)43.8% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Under-21s 46.89%
    Manchester United Under-21s 33.07%
    Draw 20.04%
Chelsea Under-21sDrawManchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 5.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.05% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.6% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 46.89%
2-2 @ 7.2% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-1 @ 6.78% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 3.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.6% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 20.04%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.02% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.019 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.6% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 33.07%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2023 7pm
Man Utd U21s
1-3
Chelsea U21s
Hugill (59')
Burstow (32'), Castledine (82'), Mothersille (90+4')
Oct 15, 2022 12pm
Chelsea U21s
3-3
Man Utd U21s
Hall (52'), Casadei (58'), Soonsup-Bell (82')
Hansen-Aaroen (26'), Shoretire (90+5', 90+6')