Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.2%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Manchester United Under-21s	Draw	Everton Under-21s
43.76% ( -0)	22.58% ( 0.01)	33.67% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 66.13% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.51% (

-0.08)

34.48% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.59% (

-0.08)

56.41% (

0.09)

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6% (

-0.03)

16.4% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.96% (

-0.06)

46.04% (

0.06)

Everton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.1% (

-0.04)

20.9% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.39% (

-0.06)

53.61% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Manchester United Under-21s 43.76%

Everton Under-21s 33.67%

Draw 22.58%

Manchester United Under-21s	Draw	Everton Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 43.76%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.58%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 33.67%