Premier League 2 - Div 1
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • James Nolan 1' goal
  • Joe Hugill 16' goal
  • Shola Shoretire 36' yellowcard
  • Sam Mather 40' yellowcard
  • James Nolan 56' yellowcard
  • Shola Shoretire 58' goal
  • Sonny Aljofree 71' yellowcard
  • goal James Huntley 2'
  • yellowcard Amadou Diallo 42'
  • yellowcard Ellis Stanton 45'+3'
  • goal Dylan Stephenson 49'
  • yellowcard Joshua Scott 90'+7'

Manchester United Under-21s vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 12.00pm
Man Utd U21s 3 - 1 Everton U21s
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Joe Hugill

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Oct 29, 2023 1.00pm
Newcastle U21s 1 - 0 Everton U21s
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Kyle Crossley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.38%) and 1-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Manchester United Under-21s 43.65% (-0.20)
Draw 21.78% (-0.02)
Newcastle United Under-21s 34.58% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.59% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.89% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 30.11% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 48.68% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 51.32% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 29.53% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 70.46% (-0.16)

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 85.29% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.7% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 57.1% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 42.89% (+0.03)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 81.59% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 18.41% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 50.44% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 49.56% (-0.28)

Score analysis

Manchester United Under-21s 43.65%
Draw 21.78%
Newcastle United Under-21s 34.58%
Manchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.55% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 43.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.78% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 7.12% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.78%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 7.43% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.19% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 4.02% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.77% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.7% (+0.03)
3-4 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.58%