Premier League 2 - Div 1
Dec 4, 2023 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
5 - 1
Reading U21s

Hawkins (20'), Bartley (27', 70'), Stickland (62' og.), Wheeldon (84')
Perry (3'), Keilen (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Akande (90+2')
Purcell (30')
Wareham (31')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Reading Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Boro U21s 1-0 Derby U21s
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Reading Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: WBA U21s 0-0 Reading U21s
Monday, November 6 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Under-21s win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawReading Under-21s
29.51% (-0.272 -0.27)21.41% (0.065999999999999 0.07)49.08% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Both teams to score 68.33% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.27% (-0.506 -0.51)30.72% (0.509 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.94% (-0.605 -0.6)52.06% (0.608 0.61)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.41 -0.41)21.34% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-0.638 -0.64)54.3% (0.643 0.64)
Reading Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.87% (-0.119 -0.12)13.13% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.21% (-0.241 -0.24)39.79% (0.243 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 29.51%
    Reading Under-21s 49.08%
    Draw 21.41%
Derby County Under-21sDrawReading Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.33% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.51%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.8% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.4% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.04% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.113 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 4.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.059 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 2.37% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.021 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.22% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-5 @ 0.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.08%

rhs 2.0


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