Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Blue Flames Ground

Newcastle U21s
1 - 7
Chelsea U21s

Sanusi (9')
Hackett-Valton (18'), Sanusi (41')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Willis (7'), Stutter (16', 90+4' pen.), Castledine (46', 51'), Richards (83'), Moreira (90+6')
Hughes (33'), Tauriainen (34')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Wolves U21s 2-2 Newcastle U21s
Monday, March 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-4 Arsenal U21s
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 63.26%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 18.5% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
18.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.23% (0.012 0.01)63.26% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 66.27% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.62% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.27% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (0.02600000000001 0.03)27.6% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.87% (0.033999999999999 0.03)63.13% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)8.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.6% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)29.4% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 18.5%
    Chelsea Under-21s 63.26%
    Draw 18.23%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 18.5%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.23%
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 7.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 7.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.86% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.77%
2-3 @ 4.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-4 @ 4.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.62% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 2.3% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-5 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
2-5 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-6 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 63.26%