Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 0-2 (4.93%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21s	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
32.58% ( -4.07)	21.15% ( -0.16)	46.27% ( 4.23)

Both teams to score 71.24% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.31% (

-0.43)

27.68% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.65% (

-0.54)

48.35% (

0.53)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78% (

-2.03)

18.22% (

2.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.76% (

-3.57)

49.24% (

3.56)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.11% (

1.24)

12.89% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.7% (

2.48)

39.3% (

-2.48)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough Under-21s 32.58%

Chelsea Under-21s 46.27%

Draw 21.15%

Middlesbrough Under-21s	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 4% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.37) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.37) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.67% Total : 32.58%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.15%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.53) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.55) 2-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.51) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.39) 2-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.33) 3-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.21) 2-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.36% Total : 46.27%