Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 23, 2024 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Yacou Traore 27' yellowcard
  • Sonny Finch 34' goal
  • goal Deivid Washington 84'
  • goal Leo Castledine 87'
  • goal Ronnie Stutter 89'

Middlesbrough Under-21s vs Chelsea Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 16, 2024 7.00pm
Aston Villa U21s 4 - 0 Boro U21s
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Sonny Finch

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 19, 2024 12.00pm
Leeds U21s 0 - 2 Chelsea U21s
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Leo Castledine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 0-2 (4.93%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Middlesbrough Under-21s 32.58% (-4.07)
Draw 21.15% (-0.17)
Chelsea Under-21s 46.27% (+4.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

71.24% (-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.31% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 27.68% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 51.65% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 48.35% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 32.27% (-0.51)
Under 4.5 67.73% (+0.51)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 81.78% (-2.03)
Under 0.5 18.22% (+2.03)
Over 1.5 50.76% (-3.57)
Under 1.5 49.24% (+3.57)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 87.11% (+1.24)
Under 0.5 12.89% (-1.25)
Over 1.5 60.7% (+2.48)
Under 1.5 39.3% (-2.49)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough Under-21s 32.58%
Draw 21.15%
Chelsea Under-21s 46.27%
Middlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.45)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.36)
1-0 @ 4% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.55)
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.39)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.37)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.28)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.37)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 32.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.19% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 7.14% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 2.77% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 2.35% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.15%
Chelsea Under-21s
1-2 @ 8.39% (+0.42)
1-3 @ 5.73% (+0.53)
0-2 @ 4.93% (+0.55)
2-3 @ 4.88% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 4.81% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 3.37% (+0.51)
1-4 @ 2.94% (+0.40)
2-4 @ 2.5% (+0.19)
0-4 @ 1.72% (+0.33)
3-4 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-98.40)
2-5 @ 1.02% (-89.68)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 46.27%