Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 0-2 (4.93%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.