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Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 23, 2024 at 1pm UK
Riverside Stadium

Boro U21s
1 - 3
Chelsea U21s

Finch (34')
Traore (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Washington (84'), Castledine (87'), Stutter (89')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Middlesbrough Under-21s and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 4-0 Boro U21s
Friday, February 16 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Leeds U21s 0-2 Chelsea U21s
Monday, February 19 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 0-2 (4.93%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
32.58% (-4.066 -4.07) 21.15% (-0.164 -0.16) 46.27% (4.226 4.23)
Both teams to score 71.24% (-0.72699999999999 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.31% (-0.429 -0.43)27.68% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.65% (-0.53599999999999 -0.54)48.35% (0.532 0.53)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (-2.028 -2.03)18.22% (2.024 2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.76% (-3.568 -3.57)49.24% (3.563 3.56)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (1.237 1.24)12.89% (-1.241 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.7% (2.48 2.48)39.3% (-2.484 -2.48)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 32.58%
    Chelsea Under-21s 46.27%
    Draw 21.15%
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.447 -0.45)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.351 -0.35)
1-0 @ 4% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.544 -0.54)
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.369 -0.37)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.279 -0.28)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.365 -0.37)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 32.58%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 7.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.77% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 2.35% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.416 0.42)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.529 0.53)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.547 0.55)
2-3 @ 4.88% (0.143 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.333 0.33)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.508 0.51)
1-4 @ 2.94% (0.39 0.39)
2-4 @ 2.5% (0.182 0.18)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.326 0.33)
3-4 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.207 0.21)
2-5 @ 1.02% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 46.27%

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