Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 54.93%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 2-3 (5.76%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.