Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 39.54% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.27%) and 1-3 (4.88%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea Under-21s	Draw	Southampton Under-21s
39.54% ( -0.47)	19.78% ( -0)	40.69% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 78.57% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.88% (

0.01)

19.11% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

63.18% (

0.02)

36.82% (

-0.02)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.46% (

-0.14)

11.54% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.55% (

-0.3)

36.45% (

0.3)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.81% (

0.15)

11.18% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.31% (

0.32)

35.69% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Under-21s 39.54%

Southampton Under-21s 40.69%

Draw 19.78%

Chelsea Under-21s	Draw	Southampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.13% Total : 39.54%	2-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 1-1 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 3.8% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.78%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 3-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 40.69%