Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
1 - 6
Bayern

Gigovic (82')
Rapp (89')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Musiala (1'), Kane (7', 43', 90+1' pen.), Remberg (13' og.), Olise (65')
Palhinha (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Bayern Munich
22.85% ( 0.1)	19.82% ( 0.08)	57.33% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 67.43% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.9% (

-0.27)

29.1% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.9% (

-0.34)

50.1% (

0.34)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16% (

-0.08)

24.84% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56% (

-0.12)

59.44% (

0.12)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.71% (

-0.13)

10.29% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.32% (

-0.3)

33.68% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 22.85%

Bayern Munich 57.33%

Draw 19.82%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.85%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.82%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.33%