Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Hoffenheim
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Campo La Quinta
Bayern
  • Maximilian Beier 8' goal
  • Grischa Promel 51' yellowcard
  • Florian Grillitsch 54' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kramaric 68' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 85' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 87' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 88' yellowcard
  • goal Mathys Tel 4'
  • goal Alphonso Davies 6'
  • yellowcard Bryan Zaragoza 90'+4'

Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2024 2.30pm
Darmstadt 0 - 6 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Maximilian Beier

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Bayern 2 - 0 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.69%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result

Hoffenheim 30.51% ▼ (-2.43)
Draw 19.26% ▼ (-0.07)
Bayern Munich 50.23% ▲ (+2.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

77.54% ▼ (-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 80.63% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 2.5 19.37% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 3.5 62.81% ▼ (-1.37)
Under 3.5 37.19% ▲ (+1.37)
Over 4.5 43.53% ▼ (-1.50)
Under 4.5 56.47% ▲ (+1.50)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 85% ▼ (-1.49)
Under 0.5 15% ▲ (+1.49)
Over 1.5 56.55% ▼ (-2.90)
Under 1.5 43.45% ▲ (+2.91)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 91.22% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 0.5 8.78% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 1.5 69.85% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 1.5 30.15% ▼ (-0.58)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 30.51%
Draw 19.26%
Bayern Munich 50.23%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.29)
3-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.28)
1-0 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.26)
4-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.24)
4-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 30.51%
Draw
2-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.06)
1-1 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.21)
3-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.10)
4-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.26%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.34)
2-3 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.38)
1-4 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.25)
2-4 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.28)
0-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.34)
3-4 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.23)
1-5 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.14)
2-5 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.05)
3-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.17%
Total : 50.23%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Bayern
Jan 12, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim
  • Jamal Musiala 18' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 70' goal
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 83' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90' goal
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 16'
  • yellowcard Grischa Promel 42'
  • redcard Grischa Promel 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Bayern
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Benjamin Pavard 17' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 71'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Hoffenheim
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Bayern
  • goal Jamal Musiala 18'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 38'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Bayern
  • Diadie Samassekou 30' yellowcard
  • Christoph Baumgartner 32' goal
  • Florian Grillitsch 38' yellowcard
  • Georginio Rutter 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Stefan Posch 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 44'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 45'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Bayern
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Serge Gnabry 16' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 30' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 82' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 87' goal
  • yellowcard Diadie Samassekou 10'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudy 60'
  • yellowcard David Raum 74'
  • yellowcard Florian Grillitsch 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Bayern
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Jerome Boateng 32' goal
  • Thomas Muller 43' goal
  • Marc Roca 53' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 57' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 63' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 44'

Form Data

Darmstadt 0 - 6 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
VfL Bochum 3 - 2 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 4 - 3 Borussia M'bach
Mainz 4 - 1 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Augsburg
Bayern 2 - 0 Wolfsburg
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Bayern
Stuttgart 3 - 1 Bayern
Bayern 2 - 2 Real Madrid
Bayern 2 - 1 Frankfurt
Union Berlin 1 - 5 Bayern