Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 59.05%. A win for AB had a probability of 21.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.2%) and 1-3 (7.12%). The likeliest AB win was 2-1 (5.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.