Bundesliga
Gameweek
1
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-
Andrej Kramaric
6'
-
Adam Hlozek
14'
-
Andrej Kramaric
37'
-
Andrej Kramaric
87'
-
Max Moerstedt
90'+3'
-
Timon Weiner
5'
-
Alexander Bernhardsson
63'
-
Andu Yobel Kelati
81'
-
Andu Yobel Kelati
82'
-
Shuto Machino
89'
Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result
Hoffenheim
41.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
22.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Holstein Kiel
35.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
67.31%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.8%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
33.2%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
45.05%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
54.95%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
26.34%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
73.66%
▲
(+0.07)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5
83.31%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
16.68%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
53.44%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
46.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5
80.79%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
19.21%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
49.1%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
50.9%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Hoffenheim
41.69%
Draw
22.44%
Holstein Kiel
35.87%
Hoffenheim
2-1
@
8.48%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 41.69%
1-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 41.69%
Draw
1-1
@
9.47%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.44%
2-2 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.44%
Holstein Kiel
1-2
@
7.81%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 35.87%
0-1 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 35.87%
Head to Head
DFB-Pokal
-
Johannes van den Bergh
3'
-
Hauke Wahl
31'
-
Kevin Akpoguma
46'
-
Angelo Stiller
59'
-
Moanes Dabour
72'
-
Jacob Bruun Larsen
84'
-
Phil Neumann
47'
-
Simon Lorenz
68'