Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Campo La Quinta

Hoffenheim
3 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Kramaric (6' pen., 37', 87')
Hlozek (14'), Moerstedt (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bernhardsson (63'), Machino (89')
Weiner (5'), Yobel Kelati (81')
Yobel Kelati (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wurzburger 2-2 Hoffenheim (3-4 pen.)
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Alemannia Aachen 2-3 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, August 17 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
41.69% ( 0.02)	22.44% ( 0.01)	35.87% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 67.31% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.8% (

-0.07)

33.2% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.05% (

-0.08)

54.95% (

0.08)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

-0.02)

16.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.44% (

-0.04)

46.56% (

0.04)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

-0.05)

19.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1% (

-0.07)

50.9% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 41.69%

Holstein Kiel 35.87%

Draw 22.44%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.69%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.87%