Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Elversberg
53.54% ( -1.2)	20.66% ( 0.09)	25.8% ( 1.1)

Both teams to score 67.88% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.01% (

0.68)

29.98% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.83% (

0.82)

51.17% (

-0.82)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.43% (

-0.1)

11.56% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.49% (

-0.22)

36.51% (

0.22)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76% (

1.13)

23.24% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.85% (

1.62)

57.15% (

-1.62)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 53.54%

Elversberg 25.8%

Draw 20.66%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Elversberg
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.54%	1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.66%	1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.94% Total : 25.8%